Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $77000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
WNBA | May 18, 2024 Fever vs Liberty |
Fever +14½ -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Aliyah Boston and NaLyssa Smith and the addition of Caitlin Clark make this Fever team an explosive Indiana offense and because of this when they get in a groove are dangerous DD underdog opponent and back door cover candidates. The Liberty smashed the Fever in the recent meeting but Im now betting on a much better effort here at home and for a cover by the under rated pup. NBAFavorites (NEW YORK) - poor defensive team from last season - allowed 72 or more points/game, after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 36-71 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. Liberty are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Liberty are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Liberty are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 18, 2024 White Sox vs Yankees |
Yankees -1½ -135 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
CHI WHITE SOX are 4-21 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in at -2.7.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 4-44 L/5 seasons for. a 92% go against covnersion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at -4.4 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Play on the Yankees to win -1.5 runline |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
WNBA | May 18, 2024 Dream vs Mercury |
Mercury +1½ -115 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Mercury revamped their roster with star power this off-season, highlighted by their addition of Natasha Cloud and Kahleah Copper. Yes, tnhey did lose game 1 but are projected by my own power rankings to bounce back here vs Atlanta. the home side has won the L/3 meetings. Dream are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games. Dream are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. NBA Road favorites (ATLANTA) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are 8-35 ATS L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mercury to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 18, 2024 Thunder vs Mavs |
OVER 208½ -105 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Mavericks hold a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference second-round series and with elimination on the agenda for the Thunder Im betting on an al out aggressive effort from the Thunder that will feature attacking the rim with alot more vigor, than they did last time outm in. aupset loss, which in turn will aid this game into being higher scoring than the lines-makers are expecting. The Mavs have played surprisingly good D, while the Thunder have looked lost on offense, two trends that just cant be sustained because of the personal on the court. The Thunder still rank 3rd in ppg offense while rankning 11 this in ppg D, with the 8th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Dallas ranks 7th in ppg offense while ranking 20th in ppg D behind the 6th ranked pace. DALLAS L/13 off an upset win as an underdog this season have seen a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. The OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-14 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 58-30 OVER L/5 seasons for. a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |